Fróðleikur um Ebola,

Fróðleg

 Talið rétt, 02.09.2014

Egilsstaðir, 17.10.2014  Jónas Gunnlaugsson

Assessing the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2014 West African Ebola Outbreak

September 2, 2014 · Research

 

http://currents.plos.org/outbreaks/article/assessing-the-international-spreading-risk-associated-with-the-2014-west-african-ebola-outbreak/

Table 1. Epidemiological features used in this study.

The time spent in each compartment corresponds to the mean time reported in the different references, and used by the Legrand et al. study 10. θ1 is computed in order to obtain the given proportion θ% of infectious individuals hospitalized. δ1 and δ2 are computed in order to have an overall case fatality ratio δ. δ1 and δ2 are fatality ratio parameters associated with the different compartments. For details on how to compute each one of them see Ref. [10].
Transition parameters	Value	References
Mean duration of incubation period (1/α)	7 days	33,34,35
Mean time from onset to hospitalization (1/γh)	5 days	36
Mean time from onset to death (1/γd)	9.6 days	36
Mean time from onset to end of infectiousness for survivors (1/γi)	10 days	35,37
Mean time from death to traditional burial (1/γf)	2 days	10
Proportion of cases hospitalized, θ	80%	36
Rate of transition from infectious to hospitalized (θ1)	0.67
Case fatality ratio, δ	55%
δ1	0.54
δ2	0.53
Mean time from hospitalizations to end of infectiousness for survivors (1/γih)	5 days
Mean time from hospitalizations to death (1/γdh)	4.6 days